To form a Labour-led government, Labour must win an additional 22 seats

and other parties must win a further 6 seats (2 SNP, 2 SF, 1 PC and 1 Alliance)
but first, they must hold onto all the seats they currently have...

Labour seats most at risk:

1. City of Chester – Labour majority=93 over the Tories. This is the most marginal Labour-held seat, and could easily go to the Tories with the help of former UKIP voters unless there is a strong turnout from Labour voters who did not vote in 2015 - and from the 2,000 18- and 19-year olds who could not vote in 2015.
2. Ynys Mons – Labour majority =229 over PC. Labour voters in Wales might want to consider giving this seat to Plaid Cymru, in exchange for asking PC voters in Vale of Clwyd to vote Labour. Just 237 PC supporters voting Labour in 2015 would have retained the Vale of Clwyd for Labour instead of giving it to the Tories.
3. Ealing Central – Labour retained Ealing Central in 2015 with only 274 votes more than the Conservatives. Every Green vote in Ealing Central is needed for Labour to counter-balance the UKIP vote going to the Tories.
4. Wirral West – Labour has a majority of just 417 over the Tories in Wirral West. UKIP is not strong here, but to ensure this seat does not go to the Tories on June 8th, every Labour supporter, including those who did not vote in 2015, is needed! There should be at least 1,500 new voters in that pool…
5. Halifax – This is another seat where Green voters could make the difference between a Labour MP and a Tory MP being returned on 8th of June. With only 428 votes between them in 2015, and more than 5,000 votes going to UKIP, every single vote matters here. 1,629 people voted LibDem in 2015, and 1,142 voted Green. Every one of those votes will be needed to ensure a Labour victory.
6. Brentford and Isleworth – Labour won this seat in 2015 with 465 more votes than the Tories. UKIP are not strong here, but once again, every single Green vote is needed to ensure Labour retains this seat.
7. Ilford North – Labour have a majority of 589 votes and will need every single vote to retain this seat against a Tory party which has swelled with UKIP voters since then. This means calling out every Green and LibDem voter as well as all the people who did not vote in 2015.
8. Cambridge – Labour hold this seat with a majority of 499 over the LibDems. Green voters will be absolutely critical in ensuring Labour retains this seat.
9. Newcastle-under-Lyme – Labour won this seat in 2015 with a slim majority of 650 over the Tories. However, with over 7,000 UKIP voters here, that margin could easily disappear. Greens, LibDems and every person who didn’t vote in 2015 – all are needed to keep the Tories from gaining this seat.
10. Barrow and Furness – This is a very marginal Labour seat, with a majority of just 795 in 2015. It is the home of the nuclear submarine industry and the sitting Labour MP, John Woodcock, is a strong supporter of Trident and a strong opponent of Jeremy Corbyn. Nevertheless, we cannot afford to give up a single seat to the Tories, so we must fight to hold on to this one! With 1,000 Green votes, 1,000 LibDem votes, 2,000 first time voters and another 2,000 who did not both to vote in 2015 all going for Labour, the UKIP factor could be easily overcome to retain this seat for a people’s victory.

Other Labour seats at risk:

11. Penistone and Stockbridge
12. Bridgend
13. Heywood and Middleton
14. Gedling
15. Alyn and Deeside
16. Great Grimsby
17. Eltham
18. Bolton North East
19. Rother Valley
20. Copeland
21. Wolverhampton South West
22. Bishop Auckland
23. Wrexham
24. Delyn
25. Scunthorpe
26. Bristol East
27. Enfield North
28. Blackpool South
29. Batley and Spen
30. Workington
31. Lancaster and Fleetwood
32. Brentford and Isleworth

SNP seats at risk:
1. Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Sedburgh – The SNP snatched this seat from the Tories with only 328 votes to spare in 2015. This is their most at-risk seat, and one of the very few constituencies where all Labour supporters are urged to vote SNP! Labour has no chance of taking this seat, with 2,700 votes to the SNP’s 20,145. But with the Tories very close behind on 19,817, there is a real risk that voting Labour instead of SNP will actually give the seat to the Tories.


Labour target seats:

1. Gower -Gower is the most marginal seat in the UK, which the Tories won in 2015 by just 27 votes. If just 27 people in Gower had voted Labour instead of Green, LibDem, Plaid Cymru or even TUSC, they would have returned a Labour MP in that constituency. Two years later, of course, the situation is different. Because of the collapse of the UKIP vote, it will be more difficult to re-take this seat for Labour, because many of those UKIP voters will vote Tory, increasing their majority. However, if a relatively small number of people who voted for other parties - or crucially, who didn't vote at all in 2015 - can be convinced to vote Labour on June the 8th, this seat can be won for Labour.
2. Vale of Clwyd - If 237 people in Vale of Clwyd had voted Labour instead of Plaid Cymru in 2015, this seat would have gone to Labour instead of to the Conservatives. Because of the UKIP factor, it may take more than that to win it back. But if just a few of the 21,000 people who didn't vote at all in 2015 vote Labour this time, along with Plaid Cymru voters who support a people's victory, this seat can be won.
3. Croydon Central - This seat was lost by just 165 votes in 2015, while nearly ten times that number voted Green in this constituency.
4. Brighton Kemptown -The Greens have very generously decided not to stand a candidate in Brighton Kemptown, where once again, the Green vote in 2015 gave the seat to the Tories by denying just 690 votes to Labour. The Greens plus the LibDems voting for Labour here would easily outweigh whatever UKIP vote might go to the Tories, but we also need every first-time voter and every non-voter to get out and vote this time to secure a Labour victory.
5. Weaver Vale -G
6. Bedford - G
7. Bury North - G
8. Cardiff North -PC
9. Hendon – G+LD++
10. Derby North -G
11. Enfield Southgate – G+LD++
12. Harrow East – G+LD+TUSC
13. Lincoln - LD
14. Plymouth Sutton G
15. Aberconwy – G+PC
16. Warrington South – G+LD
17. Carlisle G+LD++
18. Telford -G
19. Bolton West - LD
20. Southampton Itchen – G+LD
21. Morley and Outwood G
22. Keighley – G+LD++
23. Preseli – G+LD+PC++
24. Peterborough G+LD
25. Ipswich G+LD+
26. Bristol North West – G+LD
27. Stroud – G+LD
28. Leeds Northwest – G
29. Sheffield Hallam – G++

SNP target seats:

1. Dumfrieshire, Clydesdale and Tweedale – G
2. Orkney and Shetland – G+L

Plaid Cymru target seats:

1. Ceredigion – G+L

Sinn Fein target seats:

1. Fermanagh and South Tyrone – G
2. Upper Bann – SDLP

Alliance target seats:
1. Belfast East – G+SDLP+SF+