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This is considered a This is considered a Sinn Fein target seat. Labour/SDLP has little or no chance at all of taking this seat. By voting anything other than Sinn Fein in this constituency, you risk electing the DUP here and helping the Tories to maintain their majority in parliament. Voting strategically here means not taking that risk, and instead voting Sinn Fein - even though SF MPs do not sit in parliament and therefore do not provide support for a Corbyn government. A vote to survive in this constituency is a vote for Sinn Fein!
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Nigel Dodds won this seat in 2017 for the DUP with a majority of 2,081 votes.