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This is considered a Alliance target seat. DUP won this seat at the last election with a majority of 8474 over the Alliance candidate. This seat could be won by the Alliance Party if supporters of SDLP and other smaller parties banded together and voted strategically in this election. Voting strategically means increasing the numbers of MPs who will vote with Labour and decreasing the number of MPs who will vote with the Tories. In this constituency, a vote to survive ion 12 December is a vote for Alliance!
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Gavin Robinson won this seat in 2017 for the DUP with a majority of 8,474 votes.